Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has presented a new technical analysis regarding XRP’s long-term price trajectory. In a post shared on July 10, 2025, the analyst emphasized XRP’s recurring cyclical patterns on the two-week chart, supported by historical data and the behavior of the 21-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA). According to the analysis, XRP tends to undergo significant rallies shortly after confirming support above the 21 EMA, a pattern that has been repeated during previous bullish cycles. Egrag identifies three distinct historical cycles. Each cycle was marked by a period of price accumulation followed by a rapid surge. Cycle 1, occurring in the 2017-2018 period, witnessed an increase of approximately 1,400%. Cycle 2, which peaked in April 2021, saw a gain of roughly 455%. Using these two data points, the analyst derived an average growth of around 924% and extrapolated it to estimate possible targets for the current Cycle 3. #XRP – Are You Prepared? Trust me, when the hype kicks in, it’ll feel like we’ll never go down. But remember to use the "Dumb and Smart" Indicator! : "When you feel SUPER SMART, it’s usually time to sell, When you feel SUPER DUMB, that’s often the signal to buy." Back to… pic.twitter.com/6swgYT40b0 — EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) July 10, 2025 Projection of Potential Price Targets for Cycle 3 The analysis suggests that if the pattern holds and XRP follows a similar trajectory, the digital asset could reach prices significantly above current levels. Based on the calculated average growth of 924%, the analyst outlined three price targets for XRP: A conservative target of $11 , based on the lower boundary of the historical move. An average-case scenario target of approximately $20.88, derived from the mean of previous cycles. A higher-end target of $30 , assuming XRP replicates its most explosive move from Cycle 1. In the accompanying chart, Cycle 3 is projected to peak shortly after September 29, 2025. The price zones highlighted in the chart indicate sharp vertical movements following sustained support above the yellow 21 EMA line. The white ovals on the chart mark the bounce points off the 21 EMA in each cycle, which historically precede strong upward trends. We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1 — TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025 Psychological Indicator and Market Sentiment Aside from technical indicators, Egrag Crypto included a behavioral sentiment gauge he refers to as the “Dumb and Smart” Indicator. This heuristic implies that investor emotions often inversely correlate with optimal trading actions. According to the analyst, when traders feel “super smart,” it may be time to sell, whereas periods of doubt and fear, when one feels “super dumb,” often precede buying opportunities. This tool, while informal, is meant to caution against emotional decision-making during volatile market phases. Emphasis on Speed of Movement Egrag underscored that these significant rallies tend to occur rapidly once the move begins. He stated that XRP’s final big moves in prior cycles happened quickly after interacting with the 21 EMA. This timing analysis aligns with the historical pattern of sudden, steep price movements that characterized both prior bullish cycles. Egrag Crypto’s chart-based forecast places XRP in a pivotal position as it approaches what he designates as Cycle 3. Drawing from past behavior on the two-week timeframe, and assuming XRP continues to mirror its historical patterns, the analyst anticipates that XRP could reach up to $30. This forecast is conditional on the digital asset maintaining its current technical formation and finding sustained support on the 21 EMA. The tweet concluded with a message of encouragement to the XRP community, urging holders to “stay steady and strong” as the market potentially prepares for what the analyst sees as XRP’s next major move. Disclaimer : This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses. Follow us on X , Facebook , Telegram , and Google News The post Egrag Crypto Analyst Projects $30 XRP Price Based On These Historical Cycles appeared first on Times Tabloid .
